Expensive Commons

And you thought 110 € for a Tarmogoyf was expensive? Guess again...

Constructing a drama

Oh, such drama! Normally I don't care for any topic in the tabloids, and hopefully neither do you. Grand Prix Las Vegas brought us our own little “scandal” though, and those “important” news were spreading like a Wildfire. A Foil Tarmogoyf was opened in the Top8 draft of the event and was picked over Burst Lightning, which would have been the best card for the respective deck. After getting ridiculed by other professional players for not picking the best card for his deck, the involved player decided to auction off the now famous stamped foil Goyf on eBay – which is already listing for more than $15,500.00 at the moment.

As 50% of the proceeds will be donated to the Gamers Helping Gamers charity, the “scandal” seems to be working out quite nicely in the end. The twitter based drama was however just another indication of the general problem of playing limited with Modern Masters 2015. When ~50% of the players drop from the sealed GP trials before the deck swap, and players leave a draft table in the middle of the draft, and ~200 players drop from the Grand Prix itself before the deck swap, just to keep the cards they opened, it gets a little harder to take Magic serious as a strategy game. Just looking at this one event from the outside, it might look like the strategy game is just the second chance, and gets played only by those players who did not win the value lottery in the first place.

The high value cards distorted the tournament environments at the GP in multiple respects, and depending on how often we will see Modern Masters sets in the future, Wizards might or might not decide to revise some of their policies to make sure that players actually play (and pick the “right” cards for their respective decks) in their MM tournaments.

And now for something completely different

There is a significant spread between most of the reprinted commons and uncommons from Modern Masters 2015 and the respective older versions. All the new versions are cheaper than their old counterparts, some even despite having been printed at an higher rarity than before! In the long run these spreads will shrink, most likely because of MM15 prices rising, not because of the other prices coming down. This means that you should get your missing playsets from MM15 now, instead of buying the “original” versions. At the same time this means that you should sell or trade away all your old (un-)commons that have been reprinted (because those are more valuable) and use your new MM15 versions in your decks instead.

Some examples:

Vines of Vastwood (Zendikar) From: 0,40 € Price Trend: 0,97 €

Vines of Vastwood (MM15) From: 0,05 € Price Trend: 0,26 €

Smash to Smithereens (Shadowmoor) From: 0,70 € Price Trend: 1,74 €

Smash to Smithereens (MM15) From: 0,02 € Price Trend: 0,30 €

Dispatch (New Phyrexia) From: 0,48 € Price Trend: 1,19 €

Dispatch (MM15) From: 0,28 € Price Trend: 0,46 €

In a year from now all versions will have similar prices again, so trading away your old versions now and keeping your new versions will actually gain you some value. It is not going to make you rich, but it is obviously better than doing it the other way around. Maybe the cards that have been upgraded or downgraded in rarity will behave a little differently in the future, but right now those cards are priced quite similar despite their rarity shift:

Mutagenic Growth (New Phyrexia Common) From: 0,05 € Price Trend: 0,57 €

Mutagenic Growth (MM15 Uncommon) From: 0,14 € Price Trend: 0,41 €

Expedition Map (Zendikar Common) From: 0,30 € Price Trend: 0,96 €

Expedition Map (MM15 Uncommon) From: 0,35 € Price Trend: 0,71 €   



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